Insights from TAL Global’s Managing Directors on the Future of Risk…
What threats are emerging, and what will shape the way individuals, organizations, and nations manage risk? TAL Global’s senior advisors share their perspective on what’s coming and what leaders must be ready for.
These are professionals who have shaped crisis responses for governments, designed risk strategies for Fortune 500 companies, and guided organizations through the most volatile moments of the last two decades.
Peter Franklin unpacks the challenges of assessing physical vulnerabilities in a world of rapid infrastructure change, disinformation, and risk fatigue.
Societal Evolution and Social Media Impact on Risk and Security Assessment
Looking at the evolution of risk and security assessment, alongside the upcoming changes in social structures and mechanisms such as social media platforms, Franklin has several concerns. In his professional consideration, this communications medium, influenced significantly by generally untrained observers and participants, is infused with bias and easily misinterpreted content. This, according to Franklin “…often results in nebulous assertions that are presented as fact, and may even be influenced by malicious intent.” The result, according to Franklin, is that “This critical collection and analysis system presents itself against a tableau of massive industry-wide fluidity, and wraithlike societal metamorphosis.”
The result of this collision of super-sensitive period with unreliable analysis processes can, according to Franklin lead to several unwanted outcomes, such as the misidentification of actual situational problems, failure to recognize need for specific expertise, a belief that self-help is a more reasonable, less expensive solution, and the resultant inexact and neophyte evaluation of amateur corrective efforts.
Such barriers to expert vulnerability and risk analysis, can, according to Franklin, create models that result in complete failure, create seedbeds for problem escalation, and potentially lead to claims of negligence and liability. Property may be damaged or destroyed, business may be interrupted, people may be injured or killed. In short, an avalanche of unwanted outcomes.
Therefore, Franklin stresses that it is of profound importance that those seeking these services clearly understand what they are being confronted with and what they are asking as results. Together with methodology that will be applied to reaching a reasonable solution, he says, “it becomes incumbent on the service provider to correct misrepresentation and disseminate advice based on exact tenets of best practices and on personal experience and applicable expertise.”
The Impact of AI and its Upcoming Wave of Products on Vulnerability and Risk Assessment
According to Franklin, this emerging technology is sufficiently dynamic to currently stymie likely evaluation of applicability to the security industry-at-large and sundry segments thereof. “Most of this ethereal genre’s components are still in test phase,” argues Franklin, “with new utility presenting minute by minute.”
The result is, says Franklin, that it can be surmised, given some known measured successes in the medical, aerospace and fiscal management communities, that widespread execution of programs will ultimately permeate the entirety of societal operation, including vulnerability and risk assessment tools.
Despite the opportunity for nefarious implementation of programs that can influence election outcomes, mass disinformation, and ideologic contraindication, Franklin thinks that the processes appear to sufficiently abet exactitude and perception of moral clarity in processing thorny problems.
The teasing out, and smoothing of rough-edged interpretation from complex sets of circumstances could imply, if not guarantee, according to Franklin, a syllogistic approach to the vulnerability/risk continuum. It might also be conducive to promoting a mutual scientific state of mind and singularity of purpose between owners of problems and providers of solutions.
About Peter Franklin
With over 50 years of experience in the security industry, Mr. Forrest (Peter) Franklin is an internationally recognized security expert. Franklin has extensive experience in physical security management and risk assessment, counter-terrorism and critical infrastructure protection.
Franklin currently serves as Managing Director of Physical Security Management / Risk Assessment at TAL Global.
Key points about Forrest Franklin’s expertise and career:
- Counter-terrorism experience: Franklin has conducted over 3,000 hours of counter-terrorism security vulnerability assessments for water treatment, distribution utilities, dams, and irrigation districts in the hydro-power and geothermal sectors.
- Expert witness: He has been an expert witness in over 250 cases involving premise & personal liability, adequacy of security/safety, and security management, operations, and training.
- Certifications: Franklin holds several professional certifications, including CPP (Certified Protection Professional), CDRP (Certified Disaster Recovery Planner), DABFE (Diplomate of the American Board of Forensic Examiners), and CHS III (Certified in Homeland Security, Level III).
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About TAL Global
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